GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celta Vigo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Celta Vigo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bologna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bologna hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Celta Vigo holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celta Vigo

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Celta Vigo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Celta VigoWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BolognaDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Celta VigoBologna
52.4Attack52.4
54.8Defence57.1
54.8Form59.5
55.5Power57.7
1.44xG1.31
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