Celta de Vigo IIvs
Tenerife
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celta de Vigo II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celta de Vigo II 1-1 Tenerife
Original prediction
Celta de Vigo II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 35.7% | 43.1% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.6% | 25.1% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.7% | 31.7% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Celta de Vigo II
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Celta de Vigo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00