Celta de Vigo IIvs
Real Sociedad II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celta de Vigo II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celta de Vigo II 4-1 Real Sociedad II
Original prediction
Celta de Vigo II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 36.3% | 36.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.8% | 27.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 36.0% | 36.0% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Celta de Vigo II
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Celta de Vigo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40