Celta de Vigo IIvs
Eibar
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celta de Vigo II 0-4 Eibar
Original prediction
Eibar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.7% | 29.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 41.4% | 41.3% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Eibar
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Eibar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Celta de Vigo IIWLWDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EibarWWWLD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Celta de Vigo IIEibar
33.3Attack54.5
33.3Defence62.1
0.0Form54.5
23.7Power57.5
0.98xG1.60