Celjevs
Slovan Bratislava
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 8/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slovan Bratislava · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celje 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Original prediction
Slovan Bratislava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 40.3% | 34.2% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.4% | 27.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 30.4% | 38.8% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Slovan Bratislava
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Slovan Bratislava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60