Celjevs
Shamrock Rovers
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/8/2024, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Celje are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shamrock Rovers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Celje hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Celje holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celje
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Celje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80