Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celje · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Celje are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rogaška are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Celje hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.1% in the 1. SNL, while Celje holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celje
Probability
82.1%
Model confidence
82.1%
Celje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20