Celjevs
Omonia Nicosia
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/15/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Nicosia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celje 0-3 Omonia Nicosia
Original prediction
Omonia Nicosia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 34.2% | 30.0% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 28.3% | 28.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Nicosia
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Omonia Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40