Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celje · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Celje are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mura are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Celje hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.1% in the 1. SNL, while Celje holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celje
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
77.1%
Celje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00