Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celje · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celje 0-1 Koper
Original prediction
Celje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.4% | 41.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.4% | 28.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.3% | 30.3% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Celje
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Celje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CeljeWLLDW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KoperWWDLL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
CeljeKoper
50.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power80.3
1.40xG1.06