CeljevsAEK Larnaca

Celje are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AEK Larnaca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Celje hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Celje holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.