Celayavs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/10/2024, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celaya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Celaya are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.8 against 53.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celaya
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Celaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40