CelayavsVenados FC

Celaya are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.8 against 53.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.