GGOALVIO

Celaya logoCelayavsMineros de Zacatecas logoMineros de Zacatecas

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Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/15/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Celaya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Celaya are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Celaya

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Celaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CelayaLWDWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWLWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CelayaMineros de Zacatecas
44.4Attack100.0
62.2Defence41.7
46.7Form66.7
52.8Power68.8
1.45xG1.36
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