Celayavs
Mineros de Zacatecas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/19/2023, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celaya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Celaya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celaya
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Celaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40