Celayavs
Jaguares de Chiapas
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/6/2026, 2:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Celaya 0-1 Jaguares de Chiapas
Original prediction
Celaya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Celaya
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Celaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CelayaDWDWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jaguares de ChiapasDLDWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CelayaJaguares de Chiapas
53.3Attack33.3
73.3Defence58.3
53.3Form41.7
60.1Power47.4
1.57xG0.86