CelayavsCorrecaminos Uat

Celaya are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.