CelayavsCorrecaminos Uat

Celaya are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.