Celayavs
Cimarrones
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/6/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celaya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Celaya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cimarrones are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.8 against 51.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celaya
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Celaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00