CelayavsCDS Tampico Madero

Celaya are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.