Celayavs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/15/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Celaya are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlante FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80