Celayavs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/22/2023, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Celaya are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60