CeilândiavsUnião Rondonópolis

Ceilândia are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while União Rondonópolis are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceilândia hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the Serie D, while Ceilândia holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.