Cearavs
Sport Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/5/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ceara 0-0 Sport Recife, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ceara 2-1 Sport Recife
Original prediction
Sport Recife
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.2% | 27.6% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.9% | 30.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.9% | 42.3% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Projected Score
Ceara 0–0 Sport Recife
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sport Recife
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CearaLWLLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sport RecifeLWLWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CearaSport Recife
33.3Attack44.0
57.3Defence68.0
37.3Form50.7
45.2Power56.2
0.67xG1.06