GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 3/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ceara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while São Bernardo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Serie B, while São Bernardo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São Bernardo

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

15.8%

São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CearaDWWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
São BernardoDWWDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
CearaSão Bernardo
34.9Attack49.2
60.3Defence61.9
39.7Form47.6
47.3Power54.3
0.84xG1.09
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