Cearavs
Novorizontino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ceara 0-1 Novorizontino, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ceara 2-1 Novorizontino
Original prediction
Novorizontino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 34.1% | 20.9% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.6% | 26.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.4% | 52.9% | 16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Projected Score
Ceara 0–1 Novorizontino
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CearaDLWLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NovorizontinoDWWWW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CearaNovorizontino
34.5Attack57.1
57.1Defence70.2
38.1Form59.5
45.8Power62.5
0.63xG1.41