GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/11/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ceara are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nautico Recife are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.3 against 48.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

18.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CearaWDDDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Nautico RecifeWWLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CearaNautico Recife
34.9Attack39.7
60.3Defence60.3
39.7Form41.3
47.3Power48.1
0.89xG0.87
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