GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/22/2023, 9:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ceara are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guarani Campinas are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarani Campinas hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CearaLDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Guarani CampinasWL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CearaGuarani Campinas
34.9Attack36.8
60.3Defence71.1
39.7Form50.0
47.3Power54.2
0.64xG0.82
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