Serie BSerie B
Monday, 13 July 2026Last updated 10:06
Ceara

Ceara

Home
DDL
00
Full time
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away
DL
Estádio Presidente Vargas
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Draw(35%)
Prediction correct— Result: Draw
Win probability
Ceara
31%
Draw
35%
Athletic Club
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ceara
14
Athletic Club
9
Defence
Ceara
66
Athletic Club
82
Momentum
Ceara
22
Athletic Club
17
Danger (xG)
Ceara
0.22
Athletic Club
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Ceara)
0.22
avg per match
xG for (Athletic Club)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Ceara)
1.03
avg per match
xG against (Athletic Club)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CearaCeara
DDLLL
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
DLWLL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Ceara31%
Draw35%
Athletic Club34%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ceara head into this in Serie B fixture at Estádio Presidente Vargas in mixed form (DDL), while Athletic Club arrive in mixed form (DL). Ceara have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Athletic Club over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Ceara (66/100) and Athletic Club (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Ceara have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match. Athletic Club have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Ceara have generated 0.67 xG per game recently while conceding 1.30 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 38% confidence. Win probabilities: Ceara 3113%, Draw 3500%, Athletic Club 3387%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Ceara 0Draws 10 Athletic Club
Avg goals: 0.0
14 Jul 2026
Ceara
D00
Athletic Club

Recent form

Ceara

Ceara

D
@ America Mineiro
17 Jul 2026
11
xG 0.7
D
vs Athletic Club
14 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Goias
5 Jul 2026
02
L
@ Juventude
28 Jun 2026
02
L
vs Botafogo SP
20 Jun 2026
01
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

D
@ Ceara
14 Jul 2026
00
L
vs Operario-PR
8 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Avai
28 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Londrina
20 Jun 2026
02
L
@ Internacional
12 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ceara vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Athletic Club?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Ceara vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ceara vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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