Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceCeará U20 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Tirol U20 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ceará U20 hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (78.0 v 74.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Cearense U20, favouring a draw with 13.2% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.8%
Model confidence
13.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ceará U20WWWDW
GF 18 · GA 1 · avg 3.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Tirol U20WWDWW
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ceará U20Tirol U20
86.7Attack86.7
80.0Defence86.7
80.0Form66.7
78.0Power74.5
1.51xG1.24