Ceará U20vs
Ferroviario U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ceará U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ceará U20 1-0 Ferroviario U20
Original prediction
Ceará U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 69.8% | 48.6% | -21.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.2% | 24.2% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 8.16 | 11.0% | 27.3% | 16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ceará U20
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Ceará U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80