Copa RioCopa Rio
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:39
CEAC / Araruama

CEAC / Araruama

Home
L
01
Full time
Boavista SC

Boavista SC

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

CEAC / Araruama35%
Draw35%
Boavista SC30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Boavista SC
Win probability
CEAC / Araruama
35%
Draw
35%
Boavista SC
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
CEAC / Araruama
9
Boavista SC
34
Defence
CEAC / Araruama
66
Boavista SC
91
Momentum
CEAC / Araruama
0
Boavista SC
100
Danger (xG)
CEAC / Araruama
0.00
Boavista SC
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (CEAC / Araruama)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Boavista SC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (CEAC / Araruama)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Boavista SC)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CEAC / AraruamaCEAC / Araruama
LW
Boavista SCBoavista SC
W

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
CEAC / Araruama35%
Draw35%
Boavista SC30%

CEAC / Araruama leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

CEAC / Araruama head into this in Copa Rio fixture in mixed form (L), while Boavista SC arrive in mixed form (W). CEAC / Araruama have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Boavista SC over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — CEAC / Araruama (66/100) and Boavista SC (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

CEAC / Araruama have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Boavista SC have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Boavista SC have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects CEAC / Araruama to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: CEAC / Araruama 3518%, Draw 3500%, Boavista SC 2982%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

CEAC / Araruama 0Draws 01 Boavista SC
Avg goals: 1.0
15 Jul 2026
CEAC / Araruama
L01
Boavista SC

Recent form

CEAC / Araruama

CEAC / Araruama

L
vs Boavista SC
15 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Americano Campos
16 May 2026
21
Boavista SC

Boavista SC

W
@ CEAC / Araruama
15 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win CEAC / Araruama vs Boavista SC?

GoalVio's model predicts CEAC / Araruama to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for CEAC / Araruama vs Boavista SC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in CEAC / Araruama vs Boavista SC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CEAC / Araruama vs Boavista SC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more