GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.9 against 53.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDDWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Venados FCWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CDS Tampico MaderoVenados FC
33.3Attack66.7
88.9Defence33.3
44.4Form58.3
54.9Power53.2
1.61xG1.33
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