GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/7/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tapatío are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDWDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TapatíoWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoTapatío
33.3Attack50.0
88.9Defence58.3
44.4Form58.3
54.9Power58.8
1.31xG1.19
View match centre →