GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/26/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tapatío are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TapatíoWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CDS Tampico MaderoTapatío
33.3Attack50.0
88.9Defence58.3
44.4Form58.3
54.9Power58.8
1.31xG1.19
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