GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monarcas

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoWDDDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
MonarcasDLWLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CDS Tampico MaderoMonarcas
33.3Attack88.9
88.9Defence55.6
44.4Form66.7
54.9Power69.4
1.32xG1.46
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