GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 5/4/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CDS Tampico MaderoMineros de Zacatecas
33.3Attack100.0
88.9Defence41.7
44.4Form66.7
54.9Power68.8
1.46xG1.53
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