GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 5/18/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

34.9%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDWDWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Leones Negros UDGWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoLeones Negros UDG
33.3Attack77.8
88.9Defence44.4
44.4Form66.7
54.9Power63.5
1.43xG1.41
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