GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/20/2024, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

34.9%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDDDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Leones Negros UDGWWDDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoLeones Negros UDG
33.3Attack77.8
88.9Defence44.4
44.4Form66.7
54.9Power63.5
1.43xG1.41
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