GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/16/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoLDD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Correcaminos UatWLLLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CDS Tampico MaderoCorrecaminos Uat
33.3Attack91.7
88.9Defence33.3
44.4Form58.3
54.9Power62.0
1.58xG1.50
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