GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/24/2025, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Celaya are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDWWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CelayaWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoCelaya
33.3Attack44.4
88.9Defence62.2
44.4Form46.7
54.9Power52.8
1.09xG1.04
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