CDS Tampico Maderovs
Celaya
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/16/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Celaya are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20