GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/19/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CA La PazDLDWW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
33.3Attack75.0
88.9Defence58.3
44.4Form50.0
54.9Power57.9
1.32xG1.42
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