GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/23/2025, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CA La Paz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CA La PazLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz
33.3Attack75.0
88.9Defence58.3
44.4Form50.0
54.9Power57.9
1.32xG1.42
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