GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/2/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDWDDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaDWDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CDS Tampico MaderoAlebrijes de Oaxaca
33.3Attack25.0
88.9Defence58.3
44.4Form50.0
54.9Power46.7
1.35xG0.94
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