GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/9/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CDS Tampico Madero are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CDS Tampico MaderoDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoAlebrijes de Oaxaca
33.3Attack25.0
88.9Defence58.3
44.4Form50.0
54.9Power46.7
1.35xG0.94
View match centre →