GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/20/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Real Sociedad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CD Real Sociedad are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Victoria are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Real Sociedad hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Real Sociedad

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

CD Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD Real SociedadDDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
VictoriaLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
CD Real SociedadVictoria
36.8Attack36.1
52.6Defence50.0
38.6Form34.3
45.3Power42.3
1.19xG0.93
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