CD Olimpiavs
Real Espana
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Olimpia 2-1 Real Espana
Original prediction
CD Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.5% | 47.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 27.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.7% | 25.1% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
CD Olimpia
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40