GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Olimpia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CD Olimpia are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Real Espana are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Espana hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Olimpia

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CD OlimpiaDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Real EspanaLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.67/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
CD OlimpiaReal Espana
83.3Attack83.3
83.3Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
91.7Power94.8
1.41xG1.22
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