CD Olimpiavs
Platense FC
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 9/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Olimpia · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CD Olimpia 4-1 Platense FC
Original prediction
CD Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.3% | 66.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.4% | 19.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 7.37 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
CD Olimpia
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00